[Note: This post is a work-in-progress and will be added to as I continue to write my thoughts on this topic.]
I am often asked my opinion on “crypto”. Everyone who has asked me this has meant it in the sense of “cryptocurrency”. Usually following some big movement (either up or down) of BTC or Ethereum, or even Doge Coin due to tweet by a globally prominent technologist.
What they are really asking is “do you think I should put money into Cryptocurrency so I can benefit from the next price jump?” or “what’s the next Bitcoin?”. What they should be asking are the basics… what is cryptocurrency, how does it work, why is it important, why has it become a focus now, what problems does it solve?
If you begin to understand these questions you will find your answer. You will know for yourself, based on your risk-appetite and interests, if this domain is worth investment of your energy, time, and/or money.
Investing is simple, you invest when you believe the value of something now will be greater, or provide a great return, in the future relative to the risk of expending energy, time, and/or money now.
We invest time in our education (or our parents, teachers and society make us) when we’re younger because we know that it generates increased value in the future. You invest in the stocks of a company because you believe that the company will be worth more in the future.
With that logic, I invest in blockchain systems and cryptocurrency because I believe both will play an important role in how we operate in the future. I believe we are at the early stages of cryptography and decentralisation, I want to invest in the growth of this area and be rewarded in the future when it crosses the chasm and becomes a mainstay.
What if I am wrong? Then I am wrong. It’s possible and that’s certainly where risk management comes in. I have allocated a portion of my investment portfolio to this domain, a portion relative to the risks of being wrong.
Okay, so, how do I learn about the this domain? Do I really need to deeply understand this to make informed decisions about it?
I think you need to know the basics but it’s okay not to know the detailed math and programming, I sure don’t. It’s possible to see the value and benefits of the internet without knowing how it works, same with a car or airplane or computer.
The idea is to understand what problems it solves. You know a car helps resolve a problem of moving people between point A and B, how it works is less relevant right now if you believe that the problem is fundamentally worth solving for.
If you only learn one thing about blockchain, cryptography, cryptocurrency etc., let it be the answer to this question: What problem is it solving for?